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Radius Insight: Q3 2017 Market Report

From 2014 to 2016 we experienced the three strongest years of commercial sales on the South Coast since Radius began recording market activity in 1998. In fact 2014’s record 103 transactions were nearly matched by last year’s 101. And despite the fact that dollar volume dipped last year to $366 Million versus $437 Million and $439 Million in 2014 and 2015 respectively, 2016 was still a strong year by any standard.

Enter 2017 and, while we are on track for another strong year, we do appear to be in a bit of a transition period (call it transformation?) with some divergent storylines emerging, particularly involving industrial and retail properties in the downtown area…

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South Coast Leasing Summary

Santa Barbara’s office vacancy rate remained stable with a slight decrease from 5.8% in the second quarter to 5.6% during the third quarter. The majority of vacancies remain below the 3,000 sq. ft. range, with leasing activity skewing heavily to smaller spaces: 48 new leases involving spaces under 3,000 sq. ft. over the past three quarters, versus just 18 new leases for spaces over 3,000 sq. ft. The largest lease during that time period was at 425 N. Milpas St. for 9,200 SF. But perhaps the most noteworty activity came in Q2 when LogicMonitor gobbled up more than 20,000 sq. ft. at 820 State St. (which includes 5,800 SF of former retail space on the first floor). The company is vacating 5,800 sq. ft. at 12 E. Carrillo St…

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South Santa Barbara County Multifamily Summary

South County multifamily sales have continued this year well behind 2016’s extremely brisk pace (there were a record 42 sales of 5+ unit properties last year), and the only reason we are not seeing more is pure lack of inventory. The trend of historically low availability continued through the end of Q3 2017, while demand remains high for apartments particularly in Santa Barbara and Goleta. Still, some sellers are beginning to loosen up on their holdings as they see we remain in a seller’s market…

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Radius Insight: Q2 2017 Market Report

The second quarter of 2017 came to a close with 18 sales, considerably short of the first quarter’s strong haul of 31 transactions which was the strongest first quarter we have seen in the last 18 years. This brings the first half of the year to 49 total deals. That said, the first half of the year was only 4 transactions shy of tying 2014 for the most prolific first half we have ever recorded…

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Leasing Summary: Large Allergan building sublease shrinks Goleta’s industrial vacancy rate

…Goleta (as expected) experienced a major drop in industrial vacancy, plummeting from 3.8% in Q1 to a low of 0.9% in Q2, matching Santa Barbara’s vacancy rate. With this drop we saw a positive absorption of 28.6% over last quarter. The drop in vacancy is largely attributable to the 105,257 SF sublease at 71 S. Los Carneros Rd. by the biotech firm Apeel Technology, Inc…

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Radius Insight: Q1 2017 Market Report

South Coast commercial sales for the first three months of 2017 were the strongest we have seen in the last 18 years.

During the first quarter there were 30 commercial sales, twice as many as the 18-year average of 15 for Q1 sales. We even surpassed the 24 sales closed in Q1 2016 which was another strong opening quarter.

Total sales volume for the first quarter was $134 million, up slightly from 2016’s $129 million and completely overshadowing the $49 million closed in Q1 2015…

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Leasing Summary: Macy’s & The State of Retail

Undoubtably the big news heading into 2017 was that Macy’s would be closing their massive 141,000 sq. ft. anchor location in the Paseo Nuevo Mall this Spring. The store is now closed. With 48 years remaining on their lease with the City of Santa Barbara, the retailer is in the process of deciding what to do with the property. Macy’s is able to transfer the lease to another retail tenant as long as a minimum of one floor is dedicated to retail use. A potential tenant could be either another large retailer or a mixed use project. Through the lease language, the City doesn’t have much control over the type of retail tenant…

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Radius Insight: Q1 2017 Central Coast Commercial Real Estate Market Report

South Coast commercial sales for the first three months of 2017 were the strongest we have seen in the last 18 years.

During the first quarter there were 30 commercial sales, twice as many as the 18-year average of 15 for Q1 sales. We even surpassed the 24 sales closed in Q1 2016 which was another strong opening quarter.

Total sales volume for the first quarter was $134 million, up slightly from 2016’s $129 million and completely overshadowing the $49 million closed in Q1 2015…

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Leasing Summary: Macy’s & The State of Retail

Undoubtably the big news heading into 2017 was that Macy’s would be closing their massive 141,000 sq. ft. anchor location in the Paseo Nuevo Mall this Spring. The store is now closed. With 48 years remaining on their lease with the City of Santa Barbara, the retailer is in the process of deciding what to do with the property. Macy’s is able to transfer the lease to another retail tenant as long as a minimum of one floor is dedicated to retail use. A potential tenant could be either another large retailer or a mixed use project. Through the lease language, the City doesn’t have much control over the type of retail tenant…

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Pacific Coast Business Times: Housing solution key to strong Central Coast economy

Santa Barbara, California – Published 10/28/2016
By Alex Kacik

The only sustainable way to foster long-term economic growth is by building more housing, said Chris Thornberg, founding partner of Beacon Economics.

“If you want Ventura to grow faster, if you want Santa Barbara to grow faster, you have to start with a conversation about housing,” Thornberg told about 300 people at Fess Parker’s Doubletree Resort in Santa Barbara at the ninth annual Radius Real Estate and Economic Forecast on Oct. 25. “As far as housing, we have a big problem.”

It’s a problem that will persist barring a major shift in policy, he said.

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